UK inflation expectations rise to 16-yr high

LONDON - Britons' inflation expectations are running at their highest level since 1992, according to a survey on Tuesday which flagged the risk that price pressures could generate higher wage demands.

By (Reuters)

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Published: Tue 19 Aug 2008, 6:53 PM

Last updated: Sun 5 Apr 2015, 11:54 AM

The Barclays Survey of Inflation Expectations (BASIX) for August showed inflation was seen at 4.8 percent in two years' time, the highest since comparable records began in 1992 and up from expectations of 4.7 percent reported in the June survey.

Inflation expectations for the next 12 months rose to 4.7 percent from 4.4 percent in June, its highest since the first quarter of 1992.

"We forecast a further near-term rise in essential price inflation and qualitatively we see this as a risk that inflation expectations will remain at elevated levels through Q4," said George Johns, economist at Barclays Capital.

The survey of 1,900 people in the UK also showed no let-up for inflation was expected in the medium-term with five-year inflation seen at 4.8 percent. No comparison with June was given.

Bank of England monetary policy committee member Tim Besley said on Tuesday the central bank faced a difficult task in fine-tuning monetary policy to try to help the UK economy while keeping inflation in check.

The BoE's August Inflation Report showed inflation hitting 5 percent this year, but falling dramatically thereafter as food and oil prices fall and economic growth slows.

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