Gold little changed as investors await ECB action

SINGAPORE - Gold traded nearly flat on Tuesday, retaining gains from the past two sessions as investors waited for action from the European Central Bank in hopes that it would do more to tackle the region’s debt crisis.

By (Reuters)

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Published: Tue 7 Aug 2012, 1:26 PM

Last updated: Tue 7 Apr 2015, 11:24 AM

Investors are on watch for details of the ECB’s bond purchasing plans, after bank chief Mario Draghi said last week that it would target shorter-dated debt, warming up sentiment on the European government debt market.

That, together with the uncertainty around the U.S. Federal Reserve’s future policy moves, would extend the wait-and-see game in gold for a little longer, traders said.

“On the macroeconomic front, things haven’t changed dramatically — the U.S. economy is not doing too bad, and the European economy is a mess. The Fed is waiting for a perfect time to make a final strike with a third round of quantitative easing,” said a Shanghai-based trader.

A majority of Wall Street economists polled by Reuters expect the Fed to launch QE3 as soon as September, but a top Fed official said new stimulus measures so close to a presidential election would be a mistake.

Spot gold had barely moved at $1,610.90 per ounce by 0630 GMT, after rising more than 1 percent over the past two sessions.

The U.S. gold futures contract for December delivery inched down 0.2 percent to $1,613.80.

Technical analysis suggested gold could slide to $1,582.58 per ounce during the day, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.

China seen stabilising; gold demand strong

Later in the week, China is expected to release its inflation, industrial output and trade data for July, which is expected to show that the world’s No.2 economy was, at best, stabilising in the beginning of the second half of the year rather than recovering briskly.

“We continue to like precious metals, even as central bank event risks have been largely removed until September, as further disappointment with politically driven ‘growth agendas’ should confirm the need for even stronger monetary solutions to reignite nominal growth, a necessary condition in deleveraging global economies,” Societe Generale said in a research note.

The world’s top gold producer, China, which has overtaken India as the world’s top gold consumer, continued to show strong appetite for bullion.

In the first half of 2012, the gold flow from Hong Kong, a main conduit of bullion into China, grew sixfold on the year, although the flow in the opposite direction remained unusually high for a fourth month in June.


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