The Commerce Department reported on Thursday that gross domestic product that measures total production within US borders climbed at a revised 4.9 percent annual rate instead of 3.9 percent reported a month ago.
It was the strongest quarterly growth rate since the third quarter of 2003 when GDP surged at a 7.5 percent rate and slightly exceeded Wall Street economists’ forecast for a 4.8 percent rate of increase.
The department revises its GDP figure twice after its initial estimate and will publish its final figure for third-quarter performance on Dec. 20. Third-quarter GDP is now regarded as old information by Wall Street participants, who focused on the surge in jobless aid claims.
A slumping housing sector and waning consumer confidence already is predicted to sap fourth-quarter growth and analysts say that risks are rising for a recession next year.
The Labor Department said new claims for unemployment aid jumped by 23,000 last week to the highest since February, though that figure might have been affected by the fact that last Thursday was the US Thanksgiving Day holiday.
“It looks like it could be lights out for the economy,” said economist Chris Rupkey of Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ in New York, referring to the rise in claims. “This is exactly what it looks like when we are going into recession.”
Economist Steven Wieting of Citigroup said that after showing surprising resilience through 2-1/2 years of housing declines, the economy now faced pressure from tightening credit conditions. As a a result, “We...think growth in the fourth quarter will be below 1 percent,” he added.
The Federal Reserve said on Wednesday, in its latest Beige Book survey of national economic conditions, that growth had slowed in October and the first half of November, largely because of an “ongoing slowdown” in the housing sector.
The GDP report showed companies built up inventories twice as fast during the third quarter as the government had estimated a month ago - at a $32.9-billion annual rate instead of $15.7 billion.
Higher inventories add to growth and likely reflect stockpiling ahead of the Thanksgiving-to-Christmas holiday sales season but they can be a drag on future performance if sales do not meet expectations.
A cheaper US dollar appeared to be paying off in the form of a stronger trade performance. US exports climbed at an 18.9 percent annual rate instead of 16.2 percent. It was the strongest growth in exports since the final quarter of 2003 and more than double the second quarter’s 7.5 percent rate.
Imports were up at a revised 4.3 percent annual rate instead of 5.2 percent, following a 2.7 percent rate of contraction in the second quarter.
This initiative underscores Aerotree's commitment to elevating transportation standards and bolstering economic development by leveraging modern aircraft and advanced infrastructure
kt network2 hours ago
Mid-match injury forces Medvedev to retire from quarter-final clash with Jiri Lehecka
sports2 hours ago
The book captures the essence of 100 artists, each contributing to the fabric of UAE's culture with their unique artistic narratives
kt network3 hours ago
The high scoring IPL has left bowlers with few places to hide and raised concerns about the balance between bat and ball ahead of next month's T20 World Cup
sports3 hours ago
There were no immediate reports from authorities of damage or casualties
asia3 hours ago
His captivating performances quickly garnered attention within the magic industry, propelling him to prominence as one of Dubai's most sought-after magicians
kt network3 hours ago