Reasons for investors to be optimistic

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Reasons for investors to be optimistic
Nigel Green

Expert says investors are aware that there is volatility, uncertainty and headwinds, causing markets to continue to be unsettled.

By Staff Report

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Published: Mon 30 Nov 2015, 11:00 PM

Last updated: Fri 4 Dec 2015, 4:25 PM

Despite 'volatility, uncertainty and headwinds' there are several key reasons for investors to be cheerful as the market enters into 'an important week' and beyond, according to top official of deVere Group.
Nigel Green, deVere Group chief executive and founder, comments came after China's main stock market plummeted 5.5 per cent on Friday - its biggest drop since the August crash - and as other indices, such as the Hang Sang, felt the negative knock-on effect, and against a backdrop of the ongoing question mark over the Federal Reserve's imminent rate rise decision, as well as intensifying geopolitical factors, amongst other issues, influencing investors' actions.
Green said investors are aware that there is volatility, uncertainty and headwinds, causing markets to continue to be unsettled.
"Main triggers include the Chinese authorities' efforts to eliminate what they deem to be suspicious trading practices prompting a huge slide and causing ripples around the world, bond yields coming under pressure, the Federal Reserve's likely imminent rate rise, the commodities price crash, the slowdown in China and other emerging markets, and the concerning political and security issues facing the world.
"This turbulence is likely to continue and perhaps intensify this week, an important week, and it can be expected to remain for the rest of the year," he said.
Green said this week is critical not only because - on Monday, the IMF is expected to grant China's yuan reserve currency status; on Thursday, the ECB meets and its president Mario Draghi has hinted that monetary policy will be eased further; on Friday, Opec meets in Vienna to confirm whether it will maintain current supply despite weak oil prices; and the US jobs report is published - this is the last piece of data for the Fed to consider before its announcement on a rate rise.
"Despite this unsettled period, I would urge investors to be optimistic. Indeed, it does typically pay to be optimistic in the markets and right now there are two key reasons to be cheerful.
"First, history teaches us that volatility creates important buying opportunities. And where we are now is no exception. On the whole, it has been a relatively good year for investors, with many indices including the CAC40, the DAX, the STOXX 50, and the S&P 500, amongst others, all up on year-to-date comparisons.
"And while the FTSE hasn't kept up to the same degree, it is still up by 80 per cent on where it was when it was on the floor in the spring of 2009. Yet despite this, in several sectors and many shares pessimism is keeping a stranglehold on prices, creating excessively low valuations and, therefore, major opportunities for long-term investors.
"And second, it has never been easier and cheaper to invest globally. Investing across geographical regions is one of the cornerstones of a well-diversified portfolio.
"Those with a well-diversified portfolio are best-placed to mitigate risk in times of market turbulence and best-placed to take advantage of the opportunities.
"With the current market environment, I would argue that now is the time for many investors to think about taking a more global perspective.
Green said it is a myth that investing internationally is riskier. Indeed, the greater diversification that is secured by going global, the greater the reduction of overall portfolio risk.
"It is also a misconception that international investment options are exclusively the domain of sophisticated investors. This is not true. There are many well-managed retail funds that offer global stock market exposure, using a wide variety of approaches."
The deVere chief executive said savvy investors would be wise to embrace the headlines and events, especially those of the next week, that can create uncertainty as they also create important buying opportunities - at home and internationally.
- business@khaleejtimes.com


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