Chinese manufacturing up, but activity sluggish
China's manufacturing sector started the new year on a dampening note.
Beijing - Measures for employment and domestic demand also weaken
Published: Thu 31 Jan 2019, 7:49 PM
Last updated: Thu 31 Jan 2019, 9:51 PM
China's manufacturing improved in January but activity was sluggish, a survey showed on Thursday, as US and Chinese negotiators wrangled in Washington over a tariff war.
A measure of factory activity issued by the government statistics agency and an industry group rose 0.1 points on a 100-point scale but stayed below a level that shows activity expanding.
Measures for employment and domestic demand weakened.
China's economic growth sank to a three-decade low of 6.6 per cent in 2018 after activity in the final quarter of the year dipped to its lowest level since the 2008 global crisis.
"We see economic growth remaining sluggish" through mid-2019, Citigroup economists said in a report. "We believe the government will step up efforts to keep the labor market stable."
Chinese and US negotiators began talks on Wednesday in Washington aimed at resolving the fight over US complaints about Beijing's technology ambitions. No details were announced.
Exports to the United States shrank 3.5 per cent in December from a year earlier as President Donald Trump's penalties began to depress demand.
Communist leaders are trying to steer China to slower, more self-sustaining growth based on consumer spending instead of trade and investment. The deceleration has been sharper than expected, prompting Beijing to step up government spending and order banks to lend more to shore up growth and avoid politically dangerous job losses.
News of layoffs and lower sales of autos and real estate may have helped worsen the downturn by unnerving consumers, causing them to postpone spending.
The monthly purchasing managers' index of the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing improved to 49.5 from December's 49.4.
The employment index declined 0.2 points to 47.8, showing more producers cutting jobs. The measure of new orders declined 0.1 points to 49.6.
Inventories rose, but ING's Robert Carnell cautioned that might reflect trade tension instead of economic strength as companies stockpile goods, anticipating possible further tariff hikes. "It probably shouldn't be read positively," said Carnell in a report. "It may have to be unwound in the months ahead."
Chinese leaders are trying to reduce reliance on trade and nurture self-sustaining economic growth based on domestic consumer spending. But their plans call for keeping exports stable to avoid politically dangerous job losses.
Some companies have shifted production of goods bound for the United States out of China to avoid Trump's tariffs. Others are lining up non-Chinese suppliers of industrial components.