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Saudi Arabia on track to meet Vision 2030 goals

Saudi economy is projected to accelerate from 1.4% growth in 2024 to 4.6% in 2025, supported by robust non-energy sector expansion of 5.8%

Published: Mon 20 Jan 2025, 2:01 PM

Saudi Arabia, a conventional energy powerhouse, has made significant progress in diversifying its economy under Vision 2030. The digital economy, especially in sectors like education and healthcare, now contributes 14% of GDP, with artificial intelligence expected to add $135 billion to the economy in 2030, according to a report by Oxford Business Group.

While large-scale infrastructure projects progress more slowly, the kingdom's positive economic outlook is bolstered by improving global conditions and the potential easing of interest rates. Saudi Arabia aims to attract $100 billion in annual foreign direct investment by 2030. With strong financial reserves and expanding digital infrastructure, the kingdom is well-positioned to meet its Vision 2030 goals, ensuring sustainable economic growth and diversification. Saudi economy is projected to accelerate from 1.4% growth in 2024 to 4.6% in 2025, supported by robust non-energy sector expansion of 5.8%. This will partially offset the expected 6.1% contraction in oil GDP.

The non-oil sector, which is critical to Saudi Arabia's economic diversification agenda, is expected to stay steady at an estimated 4.5% in 2025-26. The kingdom has shown significant recovery, with GDP growing 2.8% year-on-year basis during the third quarter of 2024, following four consecutive quarters of decline. The tourism sector's ambitious $800 billion investment programme over the next 10 years, alongside major events like Expo 2030 and FIFA World Cup 2034, underpins the country's diversification efforts.

LONG-TERM TRENDS (%)

20252026202720282029
Real GDP growth4.64.43.63.53.5
Hydrocarbon growth5.04.82.42.62.6
Non-hydrocarbon growth4.44.34.13.93.9
Inflation1.92.02.02.02.0
Population growth2.02.02.02.02.0

NUMBERS MATTER

$33,353: Projected GDP per Capita for 2025

$422.4 Billion: Estimated central bank reserves in 2025

Strengths

> Leading oil producer among

> OPEC countries

> Robust financial and banking systems

> Net creditor

Sectors to Watch

• Oil

• Tourism

• Infrastructure

• Real estate

• Construction