Consumer spending has remained strong throughout the pandemic period despite volatile global macro-economic environment and similar trend is expected to continue this year
Sri Lanka’s key inflation rate eased to 61 per cent in November from 66 per cent in October, the crisis-struck country’s statistics department said on Wednesday.
The Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI) reflected a 73.7 per cent jump in food prices from a year earlier and a 54.5 per cent climb in the non-food group, the Census and Statistics Department said in a statement.
However, the pace of food inflation slowed from an all-time high of 94.9 per cent in September.
Sri Lanka has been struggling with soaring inflation for about a year, partly triggered by its worst financial crisis in seven decades and an ill-thought out seven month ban on chemical fertilizer implemented last year.
“This is in line with expectations. Food prices are coming down faster and while it is hard to predict, inflation could reach mid-to-high 50s at the end of 2022,” said Thilina Panduwawala, head of research at Frontier Research.
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Governor Nandalal Weerasinghe predicted that if the current trend of monetary policy was followed, inflation could drop to four per cent to five per cent by the end of next year.
In an effort to tame prices and stabilise markets, the bank held rates in its last policy announcement on November 24.
The CCPI, released at the end of each month and closely watched by central bank policymakers, acts as a lead indicator for broader national prices and shows how inflation is evolving in Colombo, Sri Lanka’s biggest city.
Sri Lanka’s other main inflation measure, the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI), which captures broader retail price inflation, slowed to 70.6 per cent last month after hitting a record 73.7 per cent in September. — Reuters
Consumer spending has remained strong throughout the pandemic period despite volatile global macro-economic environment and similar trend is expected to continue this year
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