Oil falls nearly $5 as OPEC cut fails to halt slide

LONDON - Oil slid nearly $5 a barrel on Friday as gloom about a global economic downturn that is sapping fuel demand took the steam out of an OPEC agreement to cut output.

By (Reuters)

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Published: Fri 24 Oct 2008, 8:12 PM

Last updated: Sun 5 Apr 2015, 2:26 PM

Ministers of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed at an emergency meeting in Vienna to take 1.5 million barrels a day of crude, about 5 percent of its supply, off the world market.

U.S. light crude for December delivery traded down $4.80 at $63.04 a barrel. Earlier it touched $62.85, its lowest since May 2007. It has fallen $42 a barrel in a month. London Brent crude was down $4.42 at $61.50.

Saudia Arabia's Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said the group had agreed the output reduction with effect from November1.

Traders said OPEC's action might not be enough to arrest a slide that has seen oil down more than 50 percent from a record $147 a barrel in July.

"Already we've seen demand destruction of 2 million barrels per day. I'm not convinced this cut will be enough to stop the slide." said Rob Laughlin, at broker MF Global.

"We need to see what they plan on doing later this year."

NERVOUS MARKETS

Oil has plunged as the credit crisis hits economic growth and oil demand in the United States, the world's biggest energy consumer, and other industrial countries.

"We believe this week will mark the start of a new quota reduction cycle by OPEC and it will continue through 2009," Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Lewis said in a note.

"However, we believe production cuts will not rescue the oil price," he said. "We target WTI (U.S.) crude oil prices hitting $50 a barrel next year."

Analysts polled by Reuters had expected OPEC to reduce output by between 1 million and 1.5 million barrels per day.

The International Energy Agency, which advises industrialized consumer countries, was critical of OPEC's cut.

"We need to see what they plan on doing later this year."

NERVOUS MARKETS

Oil has plunged as the credit crisis hits economic growth and oil demand in the United States, the world's biggest energy consumer, and other industrial countries.

"We believe this week will mark the start of a new quota reduction cycle by OPEC and it will continue through 2009," Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Lewis said in a note.

"However, we believe production cuts will not rescue the oil price," he said. "We target WTI (U.S.) crude oil prices hitting $50 a barrel next year."

Analysts polled by Reuters had expected OPEC to reduce output by between 1 million and 1.5 million barrels per day.

The International Energy Agency, which advises industrialized consumer countries, was critical of OPEC's cut.

"It's not a helpful decision because markets are quite nervous," Eduardo Lopez, senior analyst at the IEA's oil market division said.

Investors across financial markets are increasingly pessimistic about the world economy, illustrated by sharp falls in European and Asian stocks on Friday, led by around a 10 percent drop in Japan's Nikkei average

Britain's economy, for example, contracted by 0.5 percent in the third quarter of 2008, evidence that recession is on the way.

Even gold, a traditional safe haven, was down nearly 5 percent, pressured by a surge in the U.S. dollar as investors moved into cash.


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