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Opec+ members Saudi, Kuwait, Oman, four allies raise September oil output by 188,000 bpd
Opec+ producers have struggled to boost exports as Iran's disruption of the Strait of Hormuz during the regional war disrupted shipping, despite the fragile ceasefire in place
- PUBLISHED: Sun 2 Aug 2026, 4:53 PM
- By:
- AFP
Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Oman, and 4 other key members of Opec+ agreed in an online meeting on Sunday to boost oil production by 188,000 barrels a day from September against a backdrop of disruption caused by the regional conflict.
"The seven participating countries decided to implement a production adjustment of 188 thousand barrels per day," they said in a joint statement.
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The increase, decided by the key countries in the enlarged Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, was widely expected by analysts.
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"Opec+ has finished unwinding its voluntary cuts. The next challenge is managing the surplus that could emerge as export flows normalise," said Jorge Leon, analyst at Rystad Energy.
He warned, however, that "today's decision changes little in the near term because (the Strait of) Hormuz remains constrained. The real market impact will come when normal export flows resume."
The Opec+ countries have struggled to increase exports due to the near-paralysis of the Strait of Hormuz orchestrated by Iran during the war in the region, despite a brief upswing in shipping traffic after a US-Iran memorandum of understanding was signed in June.
Future pause foreseen
The September increase, agreed to by OPEC+ countries Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, completes the unwinding of the second of the three production-cut packages introduced by the organisation.
"Having completed the restoration campaign, OPEC+ has little incentive to rush into further supply changes. Our base case is a fourth-quarter pause while the group prepares for the 2027 quota negotiations," said Rystad Energy's Leon. "For now, geopolitics is masking the scale of the supply increase. That will become much clearer once export flows normalise," he said.
It remains unclear when the group will actually be able to increase its oil volumes. Some member countries, such as Iraq, have expressed a desire to significantly boost production.
Russia, though, is confronted with repeated Ukrainian drone attacks on its oil infrastructure that have crimped production, currently hovering around nine million barrels per day, compared with a target of 9.8 million barrels per day.
Opec+ "faces potentially difficult talks over new production quotas" starting next year following the September increase, according to analysts at DNB Carnegie.
Between late 2022 and 2023, Opec+ became concerned that oil prices were falling and agreed to cut oil production in three separate rounds, reducing total output by nearly six million barrels per day.
But Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman and the UAE, before the latter's exit from the group on May 1, then changed their strategy by gradually upping production starting in 2025.