| From A Correspondent |

In the last fiscal year 730,000
additional jobs were created |
PAKISTAN’S debt burden has declined significantly during the last eight years and this is very good for the economy, according to Dr Ashfaque Hasan Khan, Economic Advisor to the Ministry of Finance. “This debt has declined to one half and this is certainly a big achievement of the government,” he maintained.
In an interview with Khaleej Times he said that public debt which was 100 per cent of the GDP in end July 1999 has come down to 53.4 per cent by end March 2007.
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Likewise, external debt as percentage of foreign exchange earnings has declined from 347 per cent on end June 1999 to 119 per cent by end March 2007.But he said the debt in absolute terms will continue to rise because the size of GDP was also rising. “Debt is not bad but the burden of debt is bad,” he said adding that the government was maintaining a stable exchange environment because of getting the country’s foreign exchange reserves increased to over $14.5 billion which were sufficient to provide cover to more than six months of imports.
He said that Pakistan needed to invest in infrastructure
development
to achieve 6-8 per
cent GDP growth
rate. At the same
time, he said the
competitiveness of
the industry was
also needed to be
improved by the
private sector in
next 10 years.
The economic advisor also said that the new micro-economic policy framework was being prepared as various targets set during the last few years have over-performed. “We were anticipating that investment rate will reach to 22.2 per cent of the GDP by 2010-11 but we have surpassed this level in 2006-07,” he said.
Similarly, the government was expecting 4.5 per cent agriculture growth which reached to 5 per cent in 2006-07. “But we have under-performed in large scale manufacturing. However, we are right on the target as far as real GDP growth is concerned,” he said.
“Then in terms of revenue collection we have over-performed and accordingly we have to revise upward revenue projections for the next 10 years,” he said adding that the Central Board of Revenue (CBR) was expected to collect Rs980 billion in 2007-08 but it has set an ambitious target of Rs1.025 trillion for the next financial year.
It managed more than Rs42 billion against its original target last year.
“The new micro economic framework will be consistent of our growth projection and future policy thrust which we have set for ourselves,” Dr Khan said. |

Dr Ashfaque Hasan Khan |
Asked about the criticism being made by the government’s opponents that poverty and unemployment have increased, he said that first half of the last fiscal year witnessed that employment rate has come down from 6.2 per cent in 2005-06 to 5.3 per cent in the corresponding period of 2006-07.
He said that during the first half of the last fiscal year 730,000 additional jobs were created. As a result of sustained economic recovery, unemployment has gone down substantially, he claimed. As far poverty was concerned, it has declined by 10 percentage point and this was being recognised by the international donor agencies and other institutions. |
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The year 2006-07, he said, has been very good in terms of growth, balance of payment, foreign exchange reserves, debt to GDP ratio, job creation and investment. The last four year, he said, has brought Pakistan on the lime light in the international world.
In reply to a question, he said that currently
Pakistan is three notch below the investment grade status and “our policy objective for next 10-year is to attain that status,” said the economic advisor to the ministry of finance.
He said that the government was targeting to move to investment grade level which will enhance the overall stature of Pakistan. “The benefit of getting that grade will reduce the cost of borrowing substantially. In other words, market will reward Pakistan handsomely if we attain investment grade status,” said Dr Khan, who is also the Director General of Debt Coordination Office of the ministry of finance. Asked how to attain the investment grade status, he said Pakistan will have to maintain an average 6-8 per cent GDP growth rate in next 10 years in a stable micro economic environment. He also said the country’s debt burden will have to be reduced further to qualify for investment grade status. “We have imposed on ourselves to achieve this status and if that is done the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank (ADB) will be very happy and could be more helpful in terms of extending their support in every respect,” he added. |
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