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Bracing for bird flu


2 October 2005
EVEN THOUGH the World Health Organisation has sought to underplay the terrifying doomsday scenario painted by its top official Dr David Nabarro on Thursday, there is little doubt that we really have a major developing catastrophe on our hands.

It may not be as bad as Dr Nabarro predicted — 150 million deaths — but nonetheless we cannot deny the fact that the world faces a clear and present danger of pandemic proportions in bird flu. Even the most cautious estimates talk of at least 7.4 million deaths resulting from the dangerous strain of the killer flu. Also, what is not disputed is the fact that the next outbreak of the flu will of a deadlier variety, a strain of human flu that could spread fast from human to human wreaking havoc across the globe. Unlike in the past, the disease isn’t likely to be confined to the parts of Asia but will stalk the whole world.

This is no science fiction, peddled by the likes of Michael Crichton. Evidently, we are battling a big global killer. Disease, like everything else, travels fast in a globalised world. No country, however isolated, can take comfort in the belief that because it lives half way around the world, it can escape the killer. It’s a global threat and demands a global response — coordinated and swift. As with all diseases, prevention is better than cure in the case of bird flu too.

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