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Out with it now!


24 October 2006
PROMINENT Senate Democrats are right in urging the White House not to wait till after the US congressional elections to give the Iraqi government a timetable to assume a larger role in securing the country. The Bush administration is understandably apprehensive that a strategy shift now might further upset the dipping public opinion.

But it bears noting that the month preceding the elections has already been one of the worst since the war began. Till Sunday, the US forces’ October casualty count had reached 83 with on-ground commanders admitting that the two-month plan to contain the insurgency had failed to achieve its aim. Bush’s approval ratings are below 40 per cent and with the violence constantly rising, it is difficult to see the Republicans maintaining their majority in Congress. It seems they are unable to decide whether announcing policy change now – which would amount to a marked departure from the stay-the-course stance adopted so far — would bolster the Democrats’ case in the public eye.

The word in Washington is that the administration might use the James Baker group’s findings to prompt an exit strategy, which is why it has set for the report to be issued after the November 7 elections. Seen in light of ground realities, there are two compelling arguments for making those findings, and subsequent strategy, public before the elections. First, the war has already thoroughly devastated Iraq.

To delay measures aimed at restoring some sort of order for the sake of securing Congress majority should only serve to further alienate the already discontented public from the powers that be. Second, it does not reflect too well on the world’s most powerful democracy, which went to war to supposedly spread the democratic values it cherishes, to keep its own people in the dark ahead of the crucial vote. Especially since the election result will have profound implications on American and therefore international politics.

Since the three years of occupation have only seen the security situation deteriorate in Iraq, it is important to seriously reassess things. It is more than apparent that the occupying forces are not able to handle the insurgency. Some are arguing that the dreaded civil war has already begun, something not easy to deny when presented with daily bombing and casualty statistics. It seems the only path to an ultimate solution is for the US to signal a phased withdrawal. That would augur well for the Iraqi government too. With the American departure imminent, the Iraqis would know that it would be up to them to sort out their differences, with minimised external influence. It’s time for the Bush administration to take the bull by the horns, and for once give politically correct rhetoric a back sheet to plain facts, and accept what ground realities imply.
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